← Regional Championships Box Hill
Wind ExiaTier 2
at Regional Championships Box Hill
decks
2
(3.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
2-7-0
overall winrate
22.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
34.3%
avg ELO -7.2 per match
expected value
36.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
39.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1159
· median 1159
· range 1111–1207
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1055
Q1 1211
Q3 1398
1563
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Ravishing Mill | 14.8% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 35.7% | -10.6 |
| Slimes | 13.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 9.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 34.8% | -14.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 7.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.3% | +11.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.2% | +14.7 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 1.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.3% | -17.1 |
| Fire Dawn of Ashes | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Silvie | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 1.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.6% | -13.4 |
| Water Wind Vanitas | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ravishing Mill | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Vanitas | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Exia decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
